Risks and Factors Influencing Raw Material Availability and Consequences for the Development of Future Automotive Power Trains

Authors

Dr. D. Gagliardi, T. Finken, Ricardo Deutschland GmbH, Schwäbisch Gmünd

Year

2012

Print Info

Fortschritt-Berichte VDI, Reihe 12, Nr. 735

Summary

This paper aims to explore key risks and extraneous factors influencing raw material availability and related consequences for the realization of future automotive power trains. Important raw materials for the electro mobility are presented followed by an evaluation of their future supply risk. A review of the current situation and a summary of expectations for future technological developments are presented. The current situation of political factors, access to resources and other important factors are then discussed, highlighting some of the major risks and their influence on up-take rates of alternative power train technologies. Specifically the specific relationships between demand and supply side for specific rare earth elements and their effects on price development is investigated and suggests how these factors might influence existing relationships within the automotive industry. The paper concludes with suggestions for alternative strategies for specific groups within the automotive value chain to mitigate those risks.

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